信息化与中国经济增长:理论与经验分析

发布时间：2019-03-31 15:38

【摘要】：本文将信息化引入经济增长函数中,利用VAR模型对信息化对经济增长的贡献进行分析。首先,构建包含信息化的内生经济增长模型,从理论上探讨信息化与经济增长率的关系,认为经济增长是由信息化、劳动和资本三者共同决定。其次,利用VAR模型对信息化与经济增长的关系进行验证,发现二者存在较强的相关性,信息化对经济增长的促进作用存在一定的持续性并最终趋于消失。此外,分行业讨论了信息化对各产业的影响,发现信息化对各产业的冲击持续时间存在差异。为实现经济的可持续增长,中国应加快信息化建设,并通过信息化促进技术创新能力和劳动力素质的提高。
[Abstract]:This paper introduces informatization into economic growth function and analyzes the contribution of informatization to economic growth by using VAR model. Firstly, an endogenous economic growth model including informatization is constructed, and the relationship between informatization and economic growth rate is discussed theoretically. It is considered that economic growth is determined by informatization, labor and capital. Secondly, the VAR model is used to verify the relationship between informatization and economic growth. It is found that there is a strong correlation between informatization and economic growth, and the promoting effect of informatization on economic growth exists a certain degree of continuity and eventually tends to disappear. In addition, this paper discusses the impact of informatization on various industries, and finds that the impact duration of informatization on each industry is different. In order to realize the sustainable economic growth, China should speed up the construction of information technology, and promote the improvement of technological innovation ability and labor quality through informatization.
【作者单位】：西安交通大学经济与金融学院;新乡学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目“中国转变经济发展方式推动科学发展对策研究”(11AZD001) 河南省软科学研究计划项目“河南省信息化与工业化融合的绩效评价体系”(132400410393) 新乡学院科技创新基金项目“基于中原经济区企业转型升级的信息化战略研究”(12SB17)
【分类号】：F124.1;F49

【相似文献】