基于Lotka-Volterra模型的省域产业生态经济系统协调性研究

发布时间：2018-01-05 04:21

本文关键词：基于Lotka-Volterra模型的省域产业生态经济系统协调性研究　出处：《中国管理科学》2014年S1期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在分析产业生态经济系统中产业经济发展与产业生态化相互作用关系的基础上,借助Lotka-Volterra模型分别对全国30省域内产业经济和产业生态化的共生关系和共生协调度进行测算,然后根据共生关系和发展水平两个维度将产业生态经济系统协调类型进行划分并对影响因素进行分析。结果表明:省域间产业经济发展不平衡和产业生态化不平衡的变化规律并不相同;安徽省产业经济和产业生态化水平偏离最小,广东省偏离最大;辽宁、山东、浙江、海南和重庆为相互促进的共生关系,黑龙江、四川、云南、青海、宁夏和新疆为相互抑制的竞争关系;重庆共生协调度最高,新疆最低;人均GDP、污染治理、自主研发能力、低能耗产业占比对产业生态经济系统协调性均为正向影响,重工业占比和能源结构中煤炭消费量占比对系统协调为负向影响。
[Abstract]:Based on the analysis of industrial ecology economic system of industrial economic development and industrial ecology interaction, using Lotka-Volterra model respectively to the national 30 provincial industrial economy and ecological industry symbiotic relationship and symbiotic coordination degree was calculated. Then coordination type industrial ecological economy systems division and the influencing factors were analyzed according to the the two dimensions of the symbiotic relationship and development level. The results show that the industry of inter provincial economic development imbalance and changes of industrial ecological imbalance is not the same; Anhui province industry economy and the level of ecological industry in Guangdong province from the minimum, maximum deviation; Liaoning, Shandong, Zhejiang, Hainan and Chongqing to promote mutually symbiotic relationship. Heilongjiang, Sichuan, Yunnan, Qinghai, Ningxia and Xinjiang as the competition between the Chongqing mutual inhibition; symbiotic coordination degree is the highest, Xinjiang's per capita GDP, low pollution; Governance, independent research and development capacity, low energy consumption industry accounted for a positive impact on the coordination of industrial ecosystem and economic system. The proportion of heavy industry and coal consumption in the energy structure accounted for a negative impact on the coordination of the system.

【作者单位】：东南大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家社科重大招投标项目(12&ZD207) 国家自然科学基金资助项目(70973017,71172044,71273047) 江苏高校哲学社会科学研究重大项目(2014ZDAXM002) 高等学校博士点基金资助项目(20120092110039)
【分类号】：F127;F224
【正文快照】： 粗放型经济增长方式导致环境污染和资源浪费,同时资源短缺和环境污染对经济发展的制约作用愈来愈突出。2013年全国平均雾霾天数达29.9天,创52年之最,其中工业企业污染物排放是造成雾霾天气的最主要原因。在能源枯竭和环境污染压力下,如何协调好经济发展和产业生态化间的关系成

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